Explain whether a real world event is likely or unlikely. 0206.5.3

Links verified on 12/31/2014

1. Card Sharks - use your knowledge of probability to predict if the next card will be higher or lower
2. What Should I Wear? - use models to determine possible outcomes
3. Why Can't I Win? - use a spinner to predict the likelihood of simple events occurring
4. What Are My Chances - explore probability and ratios.